PREDICTION OF OZONE (O3) VALUES USING SUPPORT VECTOR REGRESSION METHOD

Abstract

A large number of motor vehicles that cause congestion is a major factor in the poor air quality in big cities. Ozone (O3) is one of the main indicators in measuring the level of air pollution in the city of Surabaya to find out how air quality. Prediction of Ozone (O3) value is important as a support for the community and government in efforts to improve the air quality. This study aims to predict the value of Ozone (O3) in the form of time series data using the Support Vector Regression (SVR) method with the Linear, Polynomial, RBF, and ANOVA kernels. The data used in this study are 549 primary data from the daily average of ozone (O3) value of Surabaya in the period 1 July 2017 - 31 December 2018. The data will be used in the training and testing process until prediction results are obtained. The results obtained from this study are the Linear kernel produces the best prediction model with a MAPE value of 21.78% with a parameter value 𝜆 = 0.3; 𝜀 = 0.00001; cLR = 0.005; and C = 0.5. The results of the Polynomial kernel are not much different from the Linear kernel which has a MAPE value of 21.83%. While the RBF and ANOVA kernels each produce a model with MAPE value of 24.49% and 22.0%. These results indicate that the SVR method with the kernels used can predict Ozone values quite well.